About the “Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict” project
“Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict” was a 2021-2022 research project funded with UK Aid from the GRSA fund at the United Kingdom Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office (UK FCDO).
The project expanded the ViEWS system from dichotomous conflict/no conflict predictions to also forecasting the number of fatalities from state-based armed conflict, providing policy-makers and researchers with the ability to quantify
the potential impact and intensity of conflicts.
The new model, called fatalities001, was launched in the spring of 2022.