This morning marked the launch of the synthesis report “Moving from Reaction to Action: Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel” in support of the United Nations Integrated Strategy for the Sahel (UNISS). The report is a product of the Sahel […]
With the conflict threshold increased from at least 1 to a minimum of 25 fatalities, forecasted changes to the risk assessment of each country are far less pronounced in the […]
In the July run of the forecasting system at s = 3, we continue to forecast a high probability of state-based conict in countries that have a recent history of […]