Data release
November 8, 2022
Prediction map

Conflict forecasts for October 2022 – September 2025

Dataset: fatalities001_2022_09_t01

Content:

  • Predicted fatalities per country-month and PRIO-GRID-month (continuous outcome)
  • Predicted probability of at least 25 battle-related deaths (BRDs) per country-month and at least 1 BRD per PRIO-GRID-month (dichotomous outcome)
  • Selected surrogate model results (interpretation material)

Learn more and access the data via the VIEWS API | Codebook

about

Methodology

RESOURCES

NEWS

Follow us

POSTAL ADDRESS

UPPSALA

Uppsala University
Department of Peace and Conflict Research
Att: [your contact]
Box 514
SE-751 20 Uppsala

Email: views@pcr.uu.se

OSLO

PRIO
Att: [your contact]
PO Box 9229 Grønland
NO-0134 Oslo
Norway

VISITING ADDRESS

UPPSALA

Uppsala University
Department of Peace and Conflict Research
Gamla torget 3, 1st floor
753 20 Uppsala
Sweden

OSLO

PRIO
Hausmanns gate 3
NO-0186 Oslo
Norway