The special issue from our 2020 prediction competition is now available as International Interactions Volume 48, Issue 4 (2022).

The competition invited researchers from different fields (political science, statistics, peace and conflict research, computer science) to present innovative models to predict changes in armed conflict fatalities over time. Read the introduction, conclusion, or why not all the contributions inLessons from a Conflict Escalation Prediction Competition”. 

Journal: International Interactions
Volume: 48
Issue: 4 

 

Content:

Introduction:

Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco & Michael Colaresi
Pages: 521-554
 

Articles:

Felix Ettensperger
Pages: 555-578
 
Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh
Pages: 579-596
 
Thomas Chadefaux
Pages: 633-648
 
Fulvio Attinà, Marcello Carammia & Stefano M. Iacus
Pages: 649-677
 
Christian Oswald & Daniel Ohrenhofer
Pages: 678-696
 
Konstantin Bätz, Ann-Cathrin Klöckner & Gerald Schneider
Pages: 697-713
 
Vito D’Orazio & Yu Lin
Pages: 714-738
 
Benjamin J. Radford
Pages: 739-758
 
Andreas Lindholm, Johannes Hendriks, Adrian Wills & Thomas B. Schön
Pages: 759-777
 
Cornelius Fritz, Marius Mehrl, Paul W. Thurner & Göran Kauermann
Pages: 778-799
 
Patrick T. Brandt, Vito D’Orazio, Latifur Khan, Yi-Fan Li, Javier Osorio & Marcus Sianan
Pages: 800-822
 
Lisa Hultman, Maxine Leis & Desirée Nilsson
Pages: 823-840
 
Jonas Vestby, Jürgen Brandsch, Vilde Bergstad Larsen, Peder Landsverk & Andreas Forø Tollefsen
Pages: 841-859
 

Conclusion:

Paola Vesco, Håvard Hegre, Michael Colaresi, Remco Bastiaan Jansen, Adeline Lo, Gregor Reisch & Nils B. Weidmann
Pages: 860-896