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Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University

  • Posted on 22 Sep 2025

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    ERC: The Violence Early-Warning System

    VIEWS began as a pioneering research initiative to address a pressing global need: early, reliable, and actionable forecasts of political violence. The pilot project – then known as the political Violence Early-Warning System (ViEWS) – ran from 2017-2021, laying the technical and methodological groundwork for the system’s current operational form.

  • Posted on 22 Sep 2025

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    UK FCDO: Forecasting fatalities

    “Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict” was a 2021-2022 research project funded with UK Aid from the GRSA fund at the United Kingdom Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office (UK FCDO). It expanded the VIEWS system to predicting fatalities in armed conflict.

  • Posted on 16 Sep 2025

    a large area of land with roads

    UNHCR: Sahel Predictive Analytics Project

    The Sahel PA project doubles down on the special challenges facing the Sahel across the triple nexus of humanitarian aid, peace-building and development with the aim of guiding decision-makers by anticipating and quickly identifying where multiple risks overlap to allow for better preparedness and to support context analysis, planning, training, and capacity-building, while also outlining…

  • Posted on 16 Sep 2025

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    UNHCR: Global Mapping of Forecasting Systems

    Commission research to conduct a systematic review of operational early-warning systems for armed conflict and natural hazards, followed by a roadmap for the development of a bespoke UNHCR EWS for forced displacement.

  • Posted on 21 Jan 2025

    Refugee camp in Eritrea

    RJ: Societies at Risk

    Societies at Risk is a multi-disciplinary research program that bring together scholars from public health research, economics, political science, peace and conflict research, and natural disaster science to study the impacts of armed conflict on human development. Results will be coordinated into the operational VIEWS model. The project is closely connected with the ANTICIPATE project.

  • Posted on 21 Jan 2025

    an aerial view of a river running through a desert

    ESCWA: The ViEWS-ESCWA Collaboration

    A 2020-2022 collaboration with the United Nations Economic and Social Council for West Asia (ESCWA), through which we developed a new forecasting model under the ViEWS2 infrastructure that incorporates data of particular importance to the Arab states. Built as an expansion of the standard ViEWS set-up, the model covers all of Africa and the Middle…

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