The Violence & Impacts
Early-Warning System
We deliver scalable, data-driven tools to empower decision-makers and humanitarian actors in early and anticipatory action.
Latest Updates
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Posted on 30 Apr 2026
Advancing Conflict Forecasting for Anticipatory Action: New Insights from VIEWS–FAO Collaboration
Rome, Italy – At the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) headquarters, recent engagements highlighted efforts to translate conflict forecasts into actionable triggers for anticipatory response, particularly in the context of parametric insurance. At the “Leveraging Evidence for Effective Anticipatory Action” conference on 20 April, VIEWS’ Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented preliminary research developed in…
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Data for Peace Conference: Registration Opens May 4th
Registration for the Data for Peace 2026 Conference will open on May 4, inviting practitioners, policymakers, and researchers to engage with the latest advances in data-driven conflict prevention and peacebuilding. As global risks and violence continue to rise, early warning systems and anticipatory approaches remain underutilized and underfunded. The conference aims to address this gap…
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P. von der Maase at “Global Entropy” Conference in Milan
Milan, Italy – The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) was represented at the Global Entropy: Restructuring the Post-Liberal World conference, co-organized by ASERI, IPSC, and POLIDEMOS on 15-16 April 2026 in Milan. Simon Polichinel von der Maase, VIEWS Director of Technical Development, took part in the panel “AI in Security: Issues, Threats, and Governance”…
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Posted on 30 Apr 2026
New Data Release: Conflict Forecasts for Apr 2026–Mar 2029
The latest VIEWS forecasts for state-based armed conflict are now available, covering the 36-month period from April 2026 to March 2029. The dataset includes global forecasts at the country-month level, along with geo-referenced forecasts at 0.5° spatial resolution for Africa and the Middle East. It captures the following indicators for state-based armed conflict: Access and…
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P. von der Maase Presents New Work on Conflict Signatures at ISA 2026
Columbus, USA — On 23 March, Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented new work titled “From Model to Meaning: Conflict Signatures for Decision-Makers” at the 2026 Annual Convention of the International Studies Association (ISA). The presentation explored how conflict forecasts can be made more meaningful and usable for practitioners. While forecasting models continue to improve…
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Häffner and P. von der Maase Present Active Learning Framework at ISA 2026
Sonja Häffner and Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented their paper at ISA 2026, discussing a semi-automated pipeline for constructing event datasets on rare attacks in education. Their approach combines large language models, synthetic data, and active learning to enhance efficiency, accuracy, and scalability in data collection and annotation.
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P. von der Maase and Häffner Presented at HAIL Seminar on Rare Event Detection
On March 19, Simon and Sonja presented at the University of Pittsburgh’s HAIL seminar, discussing their work on a semi-automated pipeline for detecting rare events from text. Their method uses large language models, synthetic data, and active learning to efficiently build structured datasets, focusing on underreported attacks on education.
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Posted on 31 Mar 2026
New Data Release: Conflict Forecasts for Mar 2026–Feb 2029
The latest VIEWS forecasts for state-based armed conflict are now available, covering the 36-month period from March 2026 to February 2029. The dataset includes global forecasts at the country-month level, along with geo-referenced forecasts at 0.5° spatial resolution for Africa and the Middle East. It captures the following indicators for state-based armed conflict: Access and…
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What we Offer
Conflict forecasts
We provide open-access, monthly forecasts of armed conflicts worldwide at both country and sub-national levels, capturing the likelihood, extent and severity of future violence over the next 1-36 months.
impact assessments
We estimate the impact of future conflict events on affected populations, allowing decision-makers and humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Research infrastructure
We provide an open-access, cutting-edge MLOps pipeline for near real-time forecasting, ensuring robust and reliant service for use across the humanitarian, development, and peace nexus.
Interesting in powering your models on our platform, or incorporating them into the VIEWS EWS? Let’s talk!
global partnerships
We collaborate with leading research institutes, IGOs, INGOs and governments, to develop innovative forecasting solutions that enhance decision-making and empower humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Schedule a call to learn more on how we assist you and your organization.
Acknowledgements
Host institutions, funding agencies, and partners
VIEWS is co-hosted by the Department of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University and Peace Research Institute Oslo. The research presented on this website is the outcome of projects that has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant agreement No. 694640, ViEWS) and Horizon Europe (Grant agreement No. 101055176, ANTICIPATE; and 101069312, ViEWS (ERC-2022-POC1)), Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (Grant agreement No. M21-0002, Societies at Risk), the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ViEWS-ESCWA), the United Kingdom Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (GSRA – Forecasting Fatalities in Armed Conflict), the Swedish Research Council (DEMSCORE), the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research (MISTRA Geopolitics), the Norwegian MFA (Conflict Trends QZA-18/0227), the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (the Sahel Predictive Analytics project and Global Mapping of Forecasting Systems), the Norwegian Research Council (UFFAC), and the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d, VIEWS-PIN).
