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Policy Paper

2026

How Artificial Intelligence Can Support Peace

Håvard Hegre (2026)

Topics: AI, Conflict forecasting, Peace
Policy Paper

2024

Harnessing AI: How to develop and integrate automated prediction systems for humanitarian anticipatory action

Humanitarian Forecast Working Group (2024)

Topics: Conflict impacts
Policy Paper

2022

Forecasting armed conflict in the Sahel: Forecasts for November 2021–October 2024

Hegre et al. (2022)

Report, Uppsala University, 2022
Policy Paper

2022

Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict: Forecasts for April 2022-March 2025

Hegre et al. (2022)

Report, Uppsala University, 2022 (overview of the fatalities model)
Policy Paper

2022

Moving from Reaction to Action – Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel: A synthesis report from the Sahel Predictive Analytics project in support of the United Nations Integrated Strategy for the Sahel (UNISS)

Blocher et al. (2022)

Report, United Nations Office of the Special Coordinator for Development in the Sahel (OSCDS) and United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), 2022
Policy Paper

2021

Understanding the potential linkages between climate change and conflict in the Arab region

Theisen et al. (2021)

United Nations publication, ESCWA, 2021

The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) is an open-source project leveraging machine learning to predict armed conflict and its adverse impacts on humanitarian outcomes.

Supported by a global network of leading researchers, our research and state-of-the-art early-warning system helps governments and humanitarian actors take timely action to prevent or reduce the devastating effects of armed conflicts on affected communities.

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