Publications

Browse the latest publications discussing the VIEWS early-warning system and results from related research projects

Edited Volume

2026

The Elgar Companion to Peace and the Sustainable Development Goals

Döring et al. (2026)

Chapters

Topics: Peace, Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Book chapter

2026

Introduction to Peace and the Sustainable Development Goals

Döring et al (2026)

Topics: Peace-Development Nexus, Positive Peace, Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Commentary

2026

Sudan’s death toll in 2025 could be as high as 100,000: how we did the count

Vesco et al. (2026)

Topics: Conflict Data, Sudan, Uncertainty
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Key factors of violent natural resource-related conflicts and their implications for post-conflict forest landscape restoration: a systematic review of the resource-conflict nexus using causal network analysis

Dawson et al. (2026)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Natural resources, Resource-conflict nexus
Report

2026

Turning Warnings into Action, and Action into Peace: Reflections from Data for Peace Conference 2026

Panic et al. (2026)

Topics: Data for Peace Conference, Early action, Early Warning
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Responsible Use of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Food Security Early Warning Systems

Anderson et al. (2026)

Topics: Early Warning, Food Security, Machine Learning
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Drought Amplifies the Psychological Burden of War

Döring et al. (2026)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Climate, Psychosocial Resilience
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Beyond the Battlefield: How Conflict Type Drives Acute Child Malnutrition in Africa

Ogbu et al. (2026)

Topics: Acute child malnutrition, Hierarchical Bayesian beta-regression, Humanitarian resource allocation, State vs non-state conflict
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Violent and Non-Violent Death Tolls for the Gaza Conflict: New Primary Evidence From a Population-Representative Field Survey

Spagat et al. (2026)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Gaza, Household survey, Non-violent death toll
Policy Paper

2026

How Artificial Intelligence Can Support Peace

Håvard Hegre (2026)

Topics: AI, Conflict forecasting, Peace
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Water and Communal Conflict: A Review of the Literature

Stefan Döring (2026)

Topics: Communal conflict, Drought, Farmer-herder, Pastoralist, Water Cooperation
Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

[Forthcoming] The underreported death toll of wars: a probabilistic reassessment from a structured expert elicitation

Vesco et al. (2026)

Forthcoming in JCR. This record will be updated when the article has been published.
Working Paper

2026

The Effects of Rebel Environmental Governance on Vulnerability: Evidence from Hezbollah in Lebanon

Michaela Peters-Salah (2026)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Climate change, Environment, Lebanon, Rebel governance, Vulnerability
Working Paper

2026

Access to Education for Young People Displaced by the Syrian Crisis

Teagan Hood (2026)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Displacement, Education, Schooling, Syria, War
Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

Combined Models of Violent Conflict and Natural Hazards Improve Predictions of Household Mobility in Bangladesh

Leis & Petrova (2025)

Topics: Bangladesh, Conflict, Household mobility, Natural hazards
Doctoral Dissertation

2025

Signals of Violence, Patterns of Flight: Predicting and Explaining Conflict-Related Mobility

Maxine Leis (2025)

Topics: Conflict, Displacement, Mobility
Commentary

2025

It comes in peace? AI’s promise and peril for women, peace and security

Vesco (2025)

Topics: AI, Peace
Opinion

2025

La Inteligencia Artificial: ¿Al Servicio de la Paz?

Hegre (2025)

Topics: AI, Peace
Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

Streams of Contestation, Streams of Cooperation: Toward a Research Agenda on Water and Peace

Döring et al. (2025)

Topics: Environmental peacebuilding, Peace, Transboundary water governance, Water, Water diplomacy
Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty

Hegre et al. (2025)

Topics: Conflict forecasting, VIEWS Prediction Challenge 2023/2024

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