Live evaluation of the forecasts submitted to the 2023/2024 edition of VIEWS Prediction Challenge
This page presents the running and overall assessment of the submitted models’ performance through the true forecasting window (July 2024 – June 2025), presented as overall scores across three key metrics (CRPS, ab-Log Score, and MIS), coupled with month-by-month assessments. For results disaggregated by country and/or grid cell and month, visit the prediction challenge dashboard.
Overall Performance
Overall performance per model across the true future, July 2024 – June 2025, ranked by CRPS scores. To learn more about the models, see the introduction article and individual model papers.
Country-level Models
Scoreboard for the country-level models. Presents the overall performance of each model through true future, ranked by CRPS score.
Aggregated performance of country-level models, July 2024 – June 2025
Grid-level Models
Scoreboard for the grid-level models. Presents the overall performance of each model through the true future, ranked by CRPS score.
Aggregated performance of grid-level models, July 2024 – June 2025
Monthly Performance
Month-by-month assessments of model performance through the true future, July 2024 – June 2025. Ranked by CRPS scores. To learn more about the models, see the introduction article and individual model papers.
Country-level Models
Evaluation metrics for the country-level models, disaggregated by month. Each file contains CRPS, MIS, and ab-Log Scores for all models in a given month, ranked by CRPS.
Grid-level Models
Evaluation metrics for the grid-level models, disaggregated by month. Each file contains CRPS, MIS, and ab-Log Scores for all models in a given month, ranked by CRP