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Commissioned Research
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Posted on 22 Sep 2025
UK FCDO: Forecasting fatalities
“Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict” was a 2021-2022 research project funded with UK Aid from the GRSA fund at the United Kingdom Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office (UK FCDO). It expanded the VIEWS system to predicting fatalities in armed conflict.
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Posted on 16 Sep 2025
UNHCR: Global Mapping of Forecasting Systems
Commission research to conduct a systematic review of operational early-warning systems for armed conflict and natural hazards, followed by a roadmap for the development of a bespoke UNHCR EWS for forced displacement.
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Posted on 21 Jan 2025
ESCWA: The ViEWS-ESCWA Collaboration
A 2020-2022 collaboration with the United Nations Economic and Social Council for West Asia (ESCWA), through which we developed a new forecasting model under the ViEWS2 infrastructure that incorporates data of particular importance to the Arab states. Built as an expansion of the standard ViEWS set-up, the model covers all of Africa and the Middle…



