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Prediction Challenge

  • Posted on 22 Jan 2025

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    DND/CAF: IDEaS Prediction Contest

    In 2024, the Canadian Department of National Defence and the Canadian Armed Forces (DND/CAF) invited research teams and innovators across the globe to take on the new “Fast Forward – Forecasting Global Emerging Threats” prediction challenge, offered through the Innovation for Defence Excellence and Security (IDEaS) program.

  • Posted on 22 Jan 2025

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    GFFO: Prediction Challenge 2023/2024

    With the goal of improving the accuracy and certainty of our forecasts, we launched our second prediction competition in 2023. It challenged participants to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution over the outcome — thus taking the uncertainty of forecasts fully into account. Learn more about the prediction challenge, explore all forecasts from the…

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