CRAF’d: VIEWS – People in Need
Providing early warnings for humanitarian assistance needs
About
VIEWS-PIN is an academic research project set to provide early warnings of the need for humanitarian assistance for all months in a rolling three-year forecasting window, for all Low and Middle Income Countries (LMICs).
Forecasts of humanitarian need will be made publicly available for decision-makers and stakeholders through our interactive dashboard and website, contributing to allocating resources where most needed, and improving the relevance, timeliness, and cost-efficiency of forward-looking policies aimed at minimising human sufferings. The project will also produce policy reports on the expected trends and patterns of humanitarian need, academic publications shedding light on the drivers of need, analytics and visual tools to enhance the understanding of the results, and new evaluation metrics to comprehensively assess the predictive performance of the forecasting models.
Objectives
Improve Understanding of Humanitarian Need Drivers
Analyze how conflict, climate hazards, and compound shocks impact humanitarian needs through data integration, literature review, and advanced modeling.
Expand and Enhance Conflict Forecasting
Broaden the VIEWS system to deliver global armed conflict forecasts with improved accuracy, reduced bias, and better uncertainty estimates.
Deliver Predictive Insights on Humanitarian Need
Produce monthly forecasts of humanitarian need up to three years ahead, supported by interactive tools, policy reports, and tailored outreach to inform early action.
Funders
The project is funded by the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d).
