Peer-Reviewed Article Archives

Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

Streams of Contestation, Streams of Cooperation: Toward a Research Agenda on Water and Peace

Döring et al. (2025)

Topics: Environmental peacebuilding, Peace, Transboundary water governance, Water, Water diplomacy

Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Water and Communal Conflict: A Review of the Literature

Stefan Döring (2026)

Topics: Communal conflict, Drought, Farmer-herder, Pastoralist, Water Cooperation

Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

Violent and Non-Violent Death Tolls for the Gaza Conflict: New Primary Evidence From a Population-Representative Field Survey

Spagat et al. (2026)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Gaza, Household survey, Non-violent death toll

Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

Combined Models of Violent Conflict and Natural Hazards Improve Predictions of Household Mobility in Bangladesh

Leis & Petrova (2025)

Topics: Bangladesh, Conflict, Household mobility, Natural hazards

Peer-Reviewed Article

2026

[Forthcoming] The underreported death toll of wars: a probabilistic reassessment from a structured expert elicitation

Vesco et al. (2026)

Forthcoming in JCR. This record will be updated when the article has been published.

Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty

Hegre et al. (2025)

Topics: Conflict forecasting, VIEWS Prediction Challenge 2023/2024

Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

Wolves in Sheep’s Clothing: Community Meetings and Voter Control in Non-Democracies

Rogall (2025)

Topics: Autocratic regimes, Community Meetings, State control, Voting behaviour

Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

The Impacts of Armed Conflict on Human Development: A Review of the Literature

Vesco et al. (2025)

Peer-Reviewed Article

2025

Societies at Risk: the Correlation between Intensity of Armed Conflict and Child Health During the Civil War in South Sudan

de Groot et al. (2025)

Peer-Reviewed Article

2024

Inference with Extremes: Accounting for Extreme Values in Count Regression Models

Randahl & Vegelius (2024)

Peer-Reviewed Article

2023

Drought exposure decreases altruism with salient group identities as key moderator

Döring & Hall (2023)

Peer-Reviewed Article

2024

Could vote buying be socially desirable? Exploratory analyses of a ‘failed’ list experiment

Hatz et al. (2024)

Topics: List experiment, Measurement, Social desirability bias, Vote buying

Peer-Reviewed Article

2024

Integrating socio-hydrology, and peace and conflict research

Döring et al. (2024)

Topics: Peace and conflict research, Review, Socio-hydrology, Water governance

Peer-Reviewed Article

2023

Predicting armed conflict using protest data

Rød et al. (2023)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Prediction, Protest

Peer-Reviewed Article

2023

Spatial patterns of communal violence in sub-Saharan Africa

Döring & Mustasilta (2023)

Topics: Communal Violence, Contagion, Drought, Spillover

Peer-Reviewed Article

2023

The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways

Petrova et al. (2023)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Climate change, Economic Growth, Projections, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)

Peer-Reviewed Article

2022

Lessons from an Escalation Prediction Competition

Hegre et al. (2022)

Topics: Armed Conflict, Ensemble models, Prediction competition

Peer-Reviewed Article

2022

Employing local peacekeeping data to forecast changes in violence

Hultman et al. (2022)

Topics: Civil war, Forecasting, Peacekeeping, Sub-national

Peer-Reviewed Article

2022

Predicting Escalating and De-Escalating Violence in Africa Using Markov Models

Randahl & Vegelius (2022)

Topics: Forecast, Markov model, Prediction, State-based violence

Peer-Reviewed Article

2022

United They Stand: Findings from an Escalation Prediction Competition

Vesco et al. (2022)

Topics: Conflict, Escalation, Forecasting, Political violence, Prediction