VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre was recently interviewed by Helsingin Sanomat, Finland’s largest subscription newspaper, in a feature exploring how artificial intelligence is used to predict and steer the course of violent conflicts — including the ongoing war in Ukraine.
The article highlights VIEWS’ recent forecasts, which show both a projected decline in conflict-related fatalities in Ukraine and the persistence of violence well into the future.
Professor Hegre discusses both the capabilities and limits of AI-based conflict forecasting. He notes that while VIEWS was able to model pre-2022 conflict patterns between Russia and Ukraine, the full-scale invasion presented new challenges. Still, the system continues to perform well in forecasting long-standing conflicts and tracking continuity in conflict intensity.
The piece also explores broader questions about the role of AI in warfare and diplomacy, including both its potential benefits and its risks — particularly when it comes to military operations and peace negotiations.
📰 Read the full article (in Finnish):
Helsingin Sanomat – Tekoäly ennustaa sodan hiipuvan Ukrainassa