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General News
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Posted on 28 Nov 2025
New Conflict Forecasting Model Released: Introducing ‘fatalities003’
We’re thrilled to announce the release of the new fatalities003 conflict prediction model – running on an entirely new production pipeline. What’s New? Building on its predecessor (fatalities002), the new model retains the same sub-model structure, with each sub-model corresponding to a counterpart in the previous version. However, several key changes have been made: Forecasts…
Topics: fatalities003 -
Posted on 31 Oct 2025
Improved Handling of UCDP Summary Events in VIEWS Forecasts and API Data
As of October 2025, VIEWS has implemented an important update to how summary events in the UCDP GED and UCDP Candidate datasets are processed in our forecasting pipeline. This change improves how temporal uncertainty in conflict data is handled by our models. Summary events are records that span multiple months, used by UCDP when the…
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Posted on 31 Oct 2025
New Data Release: Forecasts for October 2025 – September 2028
The latest VIEWS forecasts for state-based armed conflict are now available, covering the 36-month period from October 2025 through September 2028. The dataset includes global forecasts at the country-month level, along with geo-referenced forecasts at 0.5° spatial resolution for Africa and the Middle East. It captures the following indicators for state-based armed conflict: 🔍 Explore…
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Posted on 25 Feb 2025
Meet VIEWS at ISA in Chicago
On 2-5 March, several members of the VIEWS team will be in Chicago for the International Studies Association (ISA) conference, “Reconnecting International Studies”, where VIEWS is exhibiting and participating in a series of exciting panel sessions and roundtable discussions. Come find us at the VIEWS booth in the Exhibition Hall at Chicago Hilton to learn…
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Posted on 31 Jan 2025
VIEWS Researcher Stefan Döring Speaks on War’s Impact on Water Access at Geneva Water Hub Seminar
On December 10th, VIEWS researcher Stefan Döring presented insights on the impact of war on water access and society during a seminar organized by the Geneva Water Hub at the University of Geneva. The seminar, focused on turning water diplomacy research into action, brought together experts to discuss the challenges of bridging science and policy…
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Posted on 30 Jan 2025
VIEWS Contributes to PSI<>PRIO-GRID Workshop on Subnational Conflict Research
The PSI-PRIOGRID Workshop, “The Future of Subnational Conflict Research,” held in Oslo on January 23–24, brought together 34 scholars to explore emerging data, methodologies, and challenges in conflict research. Experts from VIEWS—Paola Vesco, Simon Polichinel von der Maase, Mihai Croicu, Thorsten Rogall, Stefan Döring, Chandler Williams, and Jonas Vestby—presented research on geospatial data, AI applications,…
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Posted on 29 Jan 2025
VIEWS Researcher Simon P. von der Maase Leads Session on AI and Data-Driven Approaches to Enhance Small Arms Control at GENSAC Annual Conference
On December 5, VIEWS Senior Researcher Simon Polichinel von der Maase led a session on leveraging data, AI, and emerging technologies to enhance small arms control at the GENSAC Network’s Annual Conference in Berlin. About GENSAC GENSAC – the Gender Equality for Small Arms Control Network – is a cross-regional network of experts from the…
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Posted on 22 Nov 2024
VIEWS Co-Organizes Conference on Harnessing Arms Flow Data for Early Warning
From November 6-8, 2024, VIEWS co-organized a conference in Geneva focused on enhancing the use of arms flow data for conflict early warning. Attended by over 50 experts, discussions highlighted the need for optimizing existing data for use in quantitative models, and emphasized the value of cooperation among academics, policymakers, and practitioners to jointly improve…
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Posted on 31 Oct 2024
Launch of Prediction Challenge Hosted by the Canadian DND/CAF: “Fast Forward – Forecasting Global Emerging Threats”
The Canadian DND/CAF launches the Fast Forward challenge, inviting innovators to use public data and machine learning to forecast fatalities in future armed conflicts. Ten teams may receive $25,000 each for model development, with top three teams winning up to $150,000. Applications are due by December 2, 2024.
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Posted on 27 Sep 2024
Join us at PRIO AI Days from 15-16 October 2024!
Join members of the VIEWS team from October 15th to 16th at PRIO for the upcoming PRIO AI Days, a series of public seminars on the impact of artificial intelligence. Over the span of two days seven distinct events focused on varying aspects of AI and peace from key concepts of interpretability and explainability to…
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Posted on 27 Sep 2024
CCEW SYMPOSIUM 2024
Several members and friends of the VIEWS team participated in the symposium organised by The Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) at the University of the Bundeswehr in Munich. Simon Polichinel von Der Maase (PRIO) presented “Mapping Conflict Dynamics – A Gaussian Process Approach to Estimating Temporal and Spatial Trends”, David Randahl (Uppsala University) presented “Forecasting Fatalities…
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Posted on 23 Sep 2024
VIEWS receives ‘Special Distinction for the Use of AI for Peace’ at the 2024 Kluz Prize for PeaceTech awards
The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) was awarded a Special Distinction for the Use of AI for Peace at the 2024 Kluz Prize for PeaceTech award ceremony in New York City on September 20th. The annual awards celebrate groundbreaking achievements in PeaceTech, selected by a distinguished jury of experts and leaders from the tech sector,…
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Posted on 30 Aug 2024
Meet VIEWS at APSA
Next week the American Political Science Association’s (APSA) 120th Annual Meeting and Exhibition is taking place in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Many VIEWS members will attend and present. We want to especially highlight the panels “Political Forecasting Methods: Challenges and Potential Solutions” at 12:00 on Saturday, “Political Psychology in the Wake of Violence” at 12:00 on Thursday,…
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Posted on 30 Aug 2024
Is the world becoming more unhinged? Seminar at Arendalsuka
Senior researcher and deputy director of VIEWS Paola Vesco participated in a seminar during Arendalsuka, the annual largest political gathering in Norway. Together with several PRIO researchers and the State Secretary at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs the panel discussed critical trends towards a more dangerous world and explored how to navigate and resolve current…
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Posted on 2 Aug 2024
“No Security Without Media Freedom” panel: Director Håvard Hegre highlights media’s role in global peace
Director Håvard Hegre was invited by the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) as a prominent expert to discuss the findings of the latest report by the OSCE Representative on Freedom of the Media (RFom) in Vienna at the high-level “No Security Without Media Freedom Panel”. The report highlights the critical role of…
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Posted on 2 Jul 2024
Alexa Timlick awarded the Mats Hammarström Prize for outstanding master thesis
Alexa Timlick, Research Assistant with VIEWS and at PRIO, received the 2024 Mats Hammarström Prize for the outstanding master thesis from the Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University. Unanimously, the committee awarded the Mats Hammarström prize for a methodologically rigorous, theoretically complex and innovative thesis, which offered innovative contributions to the research fields…
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Posted on 2 Jul 2024
Alexa Timlick awarded the DEMSCORE Prize for Best Master Thesis
Alexa Timlick, Research Assistant with VIEWS and at PRIO, received the 2024 DEMSCORE Prize for an outstanding thesis in the Social Sciences by unanimous decision from the award committee comprised by representatives from Stockholm University, Umeå University, and the University of Gothenburg. In conjunction with the award, she presented her research on The Double-Edged Sword…
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Posted on 1 Jul 2024
Paola Vesco at the GPMB technical consultation on political drivers of epidemics and pandemics
Dr. Paola Vesco, VIEWS Deputy Director of VIEWS and Senior Researcher at PRIO, served as an expert at the technical consultation on political drivers of epidemics and pandemics on June 11th. The consultation was organized by the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), an independent monitoring and accountability body co-convened by the World Health Organisation and…
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Posted on 28 Jun 2024
Climate, Health and Security with Stefan Döring
Between June 25th and 28th, Visby and the Almedals Week invites anyone to participate in thousands of events around current societal challenges and political discussions. This year, VIEWS member and researcher Stefan Döring participated in a panel organized by “Society and Defence” on how the climate threatens our health and the role of Sweden and…




















