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Research
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P. von der Maase Presents New Work on Conflict Signatures at ISA 2026
Columbus, USA — On 23 March, Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented new work titled “From Model to Meaning: Conflict Signatures for Decision-Makers” at the 2026 Annual Convention of the International Studies Association (ISA). The presentation explored how conflict forecasts can be made more meaningful and usable for practitioners. While forecasting models continue to improve…
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Häffner and P. von der Maase Present Active Learning Framework at ISA 2026
Sonja Häffner and Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented their paper at ISA 2026, discussing a semi-automated pipeline for constructing event datasets on rare attacks in education. Their approach combines large language models, synthetic data, and active learning to enhance efficiency, accuracy, and scalability in data collection and annotation.
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P. von der Maase and Häffner Presented at HAIL Seminar on Rare Event Detection
On March 19, Simon and Sonja presented at the University of Pittsburgh’s HAIL seminar, discussing their work on a semi-automated pipeline for detecting rare events from text. Their method uses large language models, synthetic data, and active learning to efficiently build structured datasets, focusing on underreported attacks on education.
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Paola Vesco Presents on Conflict, Floods, and Food Insecurity in Myanmar at NEPS 2025
At the 2025 Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference in Barcelona, Paola Vesco presented research revealing that armed conflict exacerbates food insecurity caused by flooding in Myanmar. The study indicates that areas facing both disasters see significant declines in child health, emphasizing the importance of integrating peacebuilding into humanitarian efforts.
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Posted on 29 Nov 2024
VIEWS Team Prepares to Launch Next-Generation Conflict Forecasting Platform
The VIEWS team recently concluded a three-day meeting in Uppsala to finalize a next-generation conflict forecasting platform, launching this winter. This tool incorporates advanced machine learning, enhances transparency, and provides real-time evaluation mechanisms for informed decision-making in conflict mitigation. It aims to redefine conflict forecasting through robust predictions and operational stability.
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Posted on 28 Nov 2024
Predicting Electoral Violence – Podcast Episode with VIEWS Researcher Dr. Randahl and Prof. Fjelde
Elections globally remain prone to violence, prompting Dr. David Randahl’s research team at Uppsala University to develop a forecasting model to predict electoral violence. This model, discussed in the podcast Researching Peace, aids in protecting democracy and informs the new Electoral Vulnerability Index, forecasting threats for 2024-2025.
Topics: Podcast -
Posted on 25 Nov 2024
The Hidden Costs of Armed Conflict: A Multidisciplinary Look at War’s Impact on Human Development
A literature review by VIEWS’ Societies at Risk project emphasizes that armed conflict severely impacts human development beyond immediate violence, affecting health, education, and economic stability. It identifies nine interrelated dimensions of society harmed by war and calls for comprehensive research to understand these cascading effects better. Effective recovery strategies are essential for long-term recovery.
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Posted on 22 Nov 2024
VIEWS Co-Organizes Conference on Harnessing Arms Flow Data for Early Warning
From November 6-8, 2024, VIEWS co-organized a conference in Geneva focused on enhancing the use of arms flow data for conflict early warning. Attended by over 50 experts, discussions highlighted the need for optimizing existing data for use in quantitative models, and emphasized the value of cooperation among academics, policymakers, and practitioners to jointly improve…
