ERC: ANTICIPATE

About

ANTICIPATE is a multi-disciplinary research project directed by Professor Håvard Hegre. It brings together scholars from economics, epidemiology, political science, and conflict research to study the impacts of armed conflicts on human development – in close collaboration with researchers from the “Societies at Risk” project at Uppsala University.

The project employs a risk-analysis perspective, assessing the expected impact of armed conflict as a function of hazards, exposure, and vulnerability on economies, health and political institutions at the macro and micro level. It accounts for how effects of observed, overt violence are transmitted to locations far from the violence itself and over time; identifies conditions that make local communities, marginalized groups, and women particularly vulnerable to the effects; and studies how conflict increases their vulnerability to other shocks such as natural disasters.

Results from the project will feed into and extend the live VIEWS early-warning system, and inform policy recommendations for parties seeking to reduce the impact of armed conflict on human development.