Publications
Browse the latest publications discussing the VIEWS early-warning system and results from related research projects
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2021
A Climate of War or Peace? The Effect of Droughts on Conflict Dynamics
Vesco (2021)
Paper presented at the virtual ISA Annual Convention 2021
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2021
What’s missing? The effect of missing data and imputation techniques on predictive performance in forecasting civil war violence
Randahl (2021)
Working Paper, Uppsala University, 2021
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2021
Inference with extremes: Accounting for Extreme Values in Count Regression Models
Randahl & Vegelius (2021)
Typescript Uppsala University, 2021 Published version available here
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ViEWS: A political Violence Early Warning System
Hegre et al. (2019)
The article and its preprint were based on two different runs of the ViEWS model: the October 2018 run (main article) and the June 2018 run (preprint). Forecasts, replication data, and appendices for the main article can be downloaded from the sidebar.
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2018
Introducing the UCDP-Candidate Events Dataset and the ViEWS Outcomes dataset
Hegre et al. (2018)
Monthly updated organized violence data in the form of events data as well as aggregated to the country-month and PRIO-GRID-month level. Supplementary material can be found in the metadata sidebar:
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2018
A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events
Croicu & Hegre (2018)
Paper presented at the 59th Annual Convention International Studies Association in San Francisco, California, 2018. Supplementary material can be found in the metadata sidebar.
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2016
Early ViEWS: A prototype for a political Violence Early-Warning System
Colaresi et al. (2016)
Paper presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting in Philadelphia, 1 September 2016.
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