News & Events
The latest updates from the VIEWS consortium
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Posted on 3 Dec 2025
VIEWS Director Interviewed on Controversial Gaza Death Toll Report
VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre was recently interviewed by the Danish fact-checking site TjekDet in connection with an article scrutinizing a widely circulated – and highly controversial – report on projected deaths in Gaza. The article, titled “Useriøs” og “ekstremt uansvarlig”: Forskere kritiserer rapport, der anslår 680.000 døde i Gaza (“Unserious” and “extremely irresponsible”: Researchers criticize…
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Posted on 3 Dec 2025
UU-PRIO Team Workshop in Oslo
Oslo, Norway – The VIEWS team convened at PRIO from 19–21 November for a hands-on workshop to finalize the new production model pipeline, which was successfully launched last week. The workshop also provided an opportunity to plan for future model development and broader project initiatives. Over the course of three days, the team tackled in-depth…
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Posted on 2 Dec 2025
VIEWS Researchers Present EdAttack Framework at Peace Science Society Conference
Sonja Häffner and Simon Polichinel von der Maase presented at the 59th North American Meeting of the Peace Science Society (International) in Orlando, Florida. They discussed the EdAttack project, which systematically studies conflict-related attacks on education in sub-Saharan Africa using large language models to understand their consequences for affected children’s futures.
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Posted on 28 Nov 2025
New Conflict Forecasting Model Released: Introducing ‘fatalities003’
We’re thrilled to announce the release of the new fatalities003 conflict prediction model – running on an entirely new production pipeline. What’s New? Building on its predecessor (fatalities002), the new model retains the same sub-model structure, with each sub-model corresponding to a counterpart in the previous version. However, several key changes have been made: Forecasts…
Topics: fatalities003 -
Posted on 31 Oct 2025
Improved Handling of UCDP Summary Events in VIEWS Forecasts and API Data
As of October 2025, VIEWS has implemented an important update to how summary events in the UCDP GED and UCDP Candidate datasets are processed in our forecasting pipeline. This change improves how temporal uncertainty in conflict data is handled by our models. Summary events are records that span multiple months, used by UCDP when the…
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Posted on 31 Oct 2025
New Data Release: Forecasts for October 2025 – September 2028
The latest VIEWS forecasts for state-based armed conflict are now available, covering the 36-month period from October 2025 through September 2028. The dataset includes global forecasts at the country-month level, along with geo-referenced forecasts at 0.5° spatial resolution for Africa and the Middle East. It captures the following indicators for state-based armed conflict: 🔍 Explore…
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Lindqvist-McGowan and Vesco presents VIEWS to UN 2.0 Data Strategy Community
Earlier this month, Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan and Paola Vesco presented the Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) for the UN 2.0 Data Strategy Community in a webinar titled “How Predictive Analytics Are Powering Early Action in Conflict Zones”. The invitation was shared with over 9,000 staff across the UN system globally, and the session drew close…
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Posted on 30 Sep 2025
Forecasting Regime Breakdowns: David Randahl at APSA 2025
Vancouver, Canada – Post-Doctoral Researcher David Randahl (Uppsala University) presented recent work at the 2025 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA) held in Vancouver, Canada, from September 11–14. Randahl presented the paper “Forecasting Regime Breakdowns”, co-authored with Vilde Lunnan Djuve and Carl-Henrik Knutsen from the Department of Political Science at the University…
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VIEWS at the 2025 Symposium on Crisis Early Warning
Berlin, Germany — VIEWS Senior Researchers Paola Vesco, Simon Polichinel von der Maase, and Sonja Häffner participated in the 2025 Symposium on Crisis Early Warning, held on September 17–18, 2025, at the German Federal Foreign Office in Berlin. Co-organized with the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW), the symposium focused on “The Potential of Data,…
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Posted on 25 Aug 2025
VIEWS Forecasts Power Conflict Component of FAO’s New Global Early Action Financing Facility
On July 1, 2025, the FAO launched the Financing for Shock-Driven Food Crisis Facility, aimed at preventing food crises through early warnings and anticipatory funding. Collaborating with VIEWS, which provides conflict risk forecasting, the facility enhances humanitarian responses. This partnership, notable at the launch in Rome, continues for another year.
