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Posted on 22 Dec 2023
Updated predictions and launch of ‘Known Issues’ record
Launch of Known Issues record to track bugs in model code and other issues with relevance when using prediction data across the triple nexus.
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Posted on 22 Dec 2023
Paola Vesco on AI, Peace & Conflict in New Podcast Episode
VIEWS Senior Researcher Paola Vesco connects the dots between AI, Peace and Conflict in the latest episode from the “Research Peace” podcast, delving deeper into the intersection of climate variability, food production, and conflict risk.
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Posted on 15 Dec 2023
UFFAC Research kitchen in Oslo
The Uncertainty in Forecasting Fatalities in Armed Conflict (UFFAC) research project held a “research kitchen” workshop in Oslo, from 13-14 December. Throughout the two days, participants presented and discussed on various aspects of predicting with uncertainty, including data quality, modelling, calibration, and evaluation.
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Posted on 6 Dec 2023
VIEWS Workshop in Uppsala
The VIEWS team recently convened in Uppsala for an internal workshop from November 30 to December 1. Here’s a brief rundown of the key events: On day 1, operational teams engaged in break-out sessions, focusing on brainstorming, planning, and ongoing/future projects. A joint session with colleagues from the Department of Peace and Conflict, Uppsala Conflict…
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Posted on 4 Dec 2023
Fulbright Scholarship
Congratulations to Chandler Williams for receiving a Fulbright Research Fellowship from the U.S. Department of State and the Fulbright Foreign Scholarship Board. Based in Kosovo, he will explore the relationship between armed conflict and conflict-related destruction during the Kosovo War. Through statistical analysis and interviews, he aims to provide insights on when destruction is used…
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Posted on 1 Dec 2023
Households in Conflict Network Workshop
During the 23-24 of November VIEWS members Thorsten Rogall and Sofia Nordenving participated in the 19th annual workshop of the Households in Conflict Network in Brussels. The theme was on “Trust and Development in Conflict Affected Countries” and they presented one working paper called “Women’s Empowerment and Post-Conflict Recovery after Mass Killings” and one called…
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Posted on 28 Nov 2023
VIEWS featured on German TV
Members of the VIEWS team were recently featured on an episode entitled “The Science of War and Peace” on the show “Leschs Kosmos” of German TV station ZDF. The episode is available here, and VIEWS is featured from minutes 2–6.
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Posted on 2 Nov 2023
VIEWS at #Data4Peace conference
Last week’s Data for Peace Conference hosted by the NYU CIC in New York was filled with interesting sessions on state-of-the-art research and expert discussions on how we can leverage data for sustainable peace. Watch Operations and Outreach Manager Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan and Senior Researcher Simon Polichinel von Der Maase present VIEWS here. Simon also participated…
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Posted on 2 Nov 2023
VIEWS presentation at #Data4Peace Conference
Operations and Outreach Manager Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan and Senior Researcher Simon Polichinel von Der Maase presenting VIEWS at Data4Peace. Presentation slides are available here.
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Posted on 1 Nov 2023
AI, Conflict and Early Warning Panel at PRIO AI Days
Several members of the VIEWS Team contributed to the panel “AI on Conflict and Early Warning” at the PRIO AI Days on 25 October 2023. The panel discussed opportunities and challenges brought about by language-learning models that are used for conflict early-warning systems. It reviewed state-of-the-art methods to extract information on political events from large…
Topics: AI -
Posted on 1 Nov 2023
Prediction Competition Workshop 2023
From 9-11 October 2023, the VIEWS Prediction Competition Workshop took place in Berlin, Germany, hosted by the German Federal Foreign Office.
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Posted on 16 Oct 2023
Podcast Episode with Jim Dale and Mert Can Yilmaz on AI, Peace & Conflict
New episode from the Uppsala University “Researching Peace” podcast, featuring the VIEWS programmer Jim Dale.
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Posted on 6 Oct 2023
“Emerging Best Practices for Predictive Model Development and Use” – VIEWS panel at the NYU CIC Conflict Early Warning/Early Action workshop in May 2021
VIEWS panel at the NYU CIC Conflict Early Warning/Early Action Workshop in May 2021 on advancements in predictive model development for violence prevention, addressing the need for improved early warning systems, broad collaboration, actor layer details, and how accurate predictions can augment policy decisions and preventative strategies.
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Posted on 6 Oct 2023
Lightning Talk on VIEWS at the “Emerging Technologies in Peacebuilding and Prevention” Virtual Practitioners Workshop 2021
At the 2021 Emerging Technologies in Peacebuilding Workshop, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre discussed the use of quantitative early-warning systems for predicting political violence, advocating for the ‘continuous multi-period incidence target’.
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Posted on 3 Oct 2023
Presentations on Climate, Environment and Conflict – Upcoming and past events
During the international and interdiciplinary workshop Climate, Environment and Food connections at Uppsala University 19-21 September, Paola Vesco gave one of the public keynote lectures. Her topic covered Climate, conflict, and vulnerabilities: insights from the Societies at Risk Project. In the session on Societal responses towards climate and environmental change, also VIEWS member Stefan Döring…
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Posted on 3 Oct 2023
PUBLICATION | “Could vote buying be socially desirable? Exploratory analyses of a ‘failed’ list experiment”
Title: “Could vote buying be socially desirable? Exploratory analyses of a ‘failed’ list experiment” Authors: Sophia Hatz, Hanna Fjelde, and David Randahl Year: 2023 Publisher: Quality & Quantity International Journal of Methodology Abstract: List experiments encourage survey respondents to report sensitive opinions they may pre- fer not to reveal. But, studies sometimes find that respondents…
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Posted on 29 Sep 2023
PUBLICATION | “Predicting armed conflict using protest data”
Title: “Predicting armed conflict using protest data” Authors: Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Håvard Hegre, and Maxine Leis Year: 2023 Publisher: Journal of Peace Research Abstract: Protest is a low-intensity form of political conflict that can precipitate intrastate armed conflict. Data on protests should therefore be informative in systems that provide early warnings of armed conflict. However,…
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Posted on 29 Sep 2023
R package evinf: Inference with Extreme Value Inflated Count Data
Interested in an R package that allows you to model and draw inferences from extreme value inflated count data? Check out evinf by VIEWS member David Randahl.
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Posted on 27 Sep 2023
New VIEWS Team Members
We are starting off September with many new additions to the VIEWS teams in Oslo and Uppsala, who we are happy to present below! At PRIO, Chandler Williams continues on the VIEWS team after his two years as Research Assistant. Since August, he is a Doctoral Researcher working on developing forecasting methods on armed groups’…
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Posted on 22 Sep 2023
Podcast Episode with Stefan Döring on Water, Climate & Conflict
New episode from the Uppsala University “Researching Peace” podcast, featuring the VIEWS researcher Stefan Döring.
