News & Events
The latest updates from the VIEWS consortium
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Posted on 30 Oct 2024
“Forecasting Densities of Fatalities from State-based Conflicts using Observed Markov Models”
Title: “Forecasting Densities of Fatalities from State-based Conflicts using Observed Markov Models” Authors: David Randahl, Johan Vegelius Year: 2024 Publisher: – / Currently available as a preprint. Abstract: In this contribution to the VIEWS 2023 prediction challenge, we propose using an observed Markov model for making predictions of densities of fatalities from armed conflicts. The…
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Posted on 30 Oct 2024
“When Sensitivity Bias Varies Across Subgroups: The Impact of Non-uniform Polarity in List Experiments”
Title: “When Sensitivity Bias Varies Across Subgroups: The Impact of Non-uniform Polarity in List Experiments” Authors: Sophia Hatz, David Randahl Year: 2024 Publisher: – / Currently available as a preprint. Abstract: Survey researchers face the problem of sensitivity bias: since people are reluctant to reveal socially undesirable or otherwise risky traits, aggregate estimates of these…
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Posted on 30 Oct 2024
VIEWS researchers recognized in the Scientific Background to the 2024 Nobel Prize in Economics
The research by VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre and former VIEWS researcher Espen Geelmuyden Rød has been recognized in the scientific background document for the 2024 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences. Their study on democracy determinants is published in Public Choice and is available through Open Access.
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Posted on 30 Sep 2024
Welcoming four new members to our team
We are thrilled to welcome four new members of staff this fall; three based at Uppsala University, and one at PRIO in Oslo. Anna Wadén and Bruno Goebel were the first to join us earlier this month. They are both undertaking a five-month internship with VIEWS as part of their master’s program in Peace and…
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Posted on 27 Sep 2024
Join us at PRIO AI Days from 15-16 October 2024!
Join members of the VIEWS team from October 15th to 16th at PRIO for the upcoming PRIO AI Days, a series of public seminars on the impact of artificial intelligence. Over the span of two days seven distinct events focused on varying aspects of AI and peace from key concepts of interpretability and explainability to…
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Posted on 27 Sep 2024
CCEW SYMPOSIUM 2024
Several members and friends of the VIEWS team participated in the symposium organised by The Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) at the University of the Bundeswehr in Munich. Simon Polichinel von Der Maase (PRIO) presented “Mapping Conflict Dynamics – A Gaussian Process Approach to Estimating Temporal and Spatial Trends”, David Randahl (Uppsala University) presented “Forecasting Fatalities…
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Posted on 23 Sep 2024
VIEWS receives ‘Special Distinction for the Use of AI for Peace’ at the 2024 Kluz Prize for PeaceTech awards
The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) was awarded a Special Distinction for the Use of AI for Peace at the 2024 Kluz Prize for PeaceTech award ceremony in New York City on September 20th. The annual awards celebrate groundbreaking achievements in PeaceTech, selected by a distinguished jury of experts and leaders from the tech sector,…
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Posted on 30 Aug 2024
Meet VIEWS at APSA
Next week the American Political Science Association’s (APSA) 120th Annual Meeting and Exhibition is taking place in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Many VIEWS members will attend and present. We want to especially highlight the panels “Political Forecasting Methods: Challenges and Potential Solutions” at 12:00 on Saturday, “Political Psychology in the Wake of Violence” at 12:00 on Thursday,…
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Posted on 30 Aug 2024
Is the world becoming more unhinged? Seminar at Arendalsuka
Senior researcher and deputy director of VIEWS Paola Vesco participated in a seminar during Arendalsuka, the annual largest political gathering in Norway. Together with several PRIO researchers and the State Secretary at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs the panel discussed critical trends towards a more dangerous world and explored how to navigate and resolve current…
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Posted on 2 Aug 2024
“No Security Without Media Freedom” panel: Director Håvard Hegre highlights media’s role in global peace
Director Håvard Hegre was invited by the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) as a prominent expert to discuss the findings of the latest report by the OSCE Representative on Freedom of the Media (RFom) in Vienna at the high-level “No Security Without Media Freedom Panel”. The report highlights the critical role of…
