The Violence & Impacts
Early-Warning System
We deliver scalable, data-driven tools to empower decision-makers and humanitarian actors in early and anticipatory action.
Latest Updates
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Drought exposure decreases altruism with salient group identities as key moderator
Döring & Hall (2023)
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Posted on 2 Jul 2024
Alexa Timlick awarded the Mats Hammarström Prize for outstanding master thesis
Alexa Timlick, Research Assistant with VIEWS and at PRIO, received the 2024 Mats Hammarström Prize for the outstanding master thesis from the Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University. Unanimously, the committee awarded the Mats Hammarström prize for a methodologically rigorous, theoretically complex and innovative thesis, which offered innovative contributions to the research fields…
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Posted on 2 Jul 2024
Alexa Timlick awarded the DEMSCORE Prize for Best Master Thesis
Alexa Timlick, Research Assistant with VIEWS and at PRIO, received the 2024 DEMSCORE Prize for an outstanding thesis in the Social Sciences by unanimous decision from the award committee comprised by representatives from Stockholm University, Umeå University, and the University of Gothenburg. In conjunction with the award, she presented her research on The Double-Edged Sword…
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Posted on 1 Jul 2024
The first results from the VIEWS Prediction Challenge 2023/2024
The final submissions to the VIEWS Prediction Challenge 2023/2024 have trickled in and we are thrilled to announce the release of the conflict forecasts from our participating teams, the launch of the VIEWS Prediction Challenge dashboard, and the preprint publications from the challenge. Purpose of the challenge Following recent calls for “Early Warning Early Action”…
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Posted on 1 Jul 2024
Paola Vesco at the GPMB technical consultation on political drivers of epidemics and pandemics
Dr. Paola Vesco, VIEWS Deputy Director of VIEWS and Senior Researcher at PRIO, served as an expert at the technical consultation on political drivers of epidemics and pandemics on June 11th. The consultation was organized by the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), an independent monitoring and accountability body co-convened by the World Health Organisation and…
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Posted on 28 Jun 2024
“Predicting Fatalities with Pre-trained Temporal Transformers: A Time Series Regression Approach”
Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge. Authors: Luca Macis, Marco Tagliapietra, Elena Siletti, and Paola Pisano
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Posted on 28 Jun 2024
VIEWS at the Humanitarian Data Forum
VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre presented during the first-ever Humanitarian Data Forum in The Hague from 12-14 June 2024. The event brought together NGOs, governments, UN agencies, academia and private sector to discuss the future of humanitarian data. The event was further supported by another VIEWS collaborator, the Complex Risk Analytics Fund. Recordings from a number of plenary…
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Posted on 28 Jun 2024
Climate, Health and Security with Stefan Döring
Between June 25th and 28th, Visby and the Almedals Week invites anyone to participate in thousands of events around current societal challenges and political discussions. This year, VIEWS member and researcher Stefan Döring participated in a panel organized by “Society and Defence” on how the climate threatens our health and the role of Sweden and…
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What we Offer
Conflict forecasts
We provide open-access, monthly forecasts of armed conflicts worldwide at both country and sub-national levels, capturing the likelihood, extent and severity of future violence over the next 1-36 months.
impact assessments
We estimate the impact of future conflict events on affected populations, allowing decision-makers and humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Research infrastructure
We provide an open-access, cutting-edge MLOps pipeline for near real-time forecasting, ensuring robust and reliant service for use across the humanitarian, development, and peace nexus.
Interesting in powering your models on our platform, or incorporating them into the VIEWS EWS? Let’s talk!
global partnerships
We collaborate with leading research institutes, IGOs, INGOs and governments, to develop innovative forecasting solutions that enhance decision-making and empower humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Schedule a call to learn more on how we assist you and your organization.
Acknowledgements
Host institutions, funding agencies, and partners
VIEWS is co-hosted by the Department of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University and Peace Research Institute Oslo. The research presented on this website is the outcome of projects that has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant agreement No. 694640, ViEWS) and Horizon Europe (Grant agreement No. 101055176, ANTICIPATE; and 101069312, ViEWS (ERC-2022-POC1)), Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (Grant agreement No. M21-0002, Societies at Risk), the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ViEWS-ESCWA), the United Kingdom Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (GSRA – Forecasting Fatalities in Armed Conflict), the Swedish Research Council (DEMSCORE), the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research (MISTRA Geopolitics), the Norwegian MFA (Conflict Trends QZA-18/0227), the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (the Sahel Predictive Analytics project and Global Mapping of Forecasting Systems), the Norwegian Research Council (UFFAC), and the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d, VIEWS-PIN).
