A large fire following bombing in Gaza
A new study, co-authored by experts including VIEWS researchers Håvard Hegre and Debarati Guha-Sapir, presents the first independent, survey-based estimate of war-related mortality in Gaza. The study estimates that 75,200 people were killed by violence in the Gaza Strip (95% CI: 63,600–86,800) between 7 October 2023 and 5 January 2025, more than half of which were women, children, and elderly.
Gothenburg, Sweden – On June 10th, during the 2025 edition of the annual DEMSCORE conference in […]
Gothenburg, Sweden – At the DEMSCORE conference hosted by the University of Gothenburg on 9–10 June […]
At the 2025 Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference in Barcelona, Paola Vesco presented research revealing that armed conflict exacerbates food insecurity caused by flooding in Myanmar. The study indicates that areas facing both disasters see significant declines in child health, emphasizing the importance of integrating peacebuilding into humanitarian efforts.
The VIEWS team recently concluded a three-day meeting in Uppsala to finalize a next-generation conflict forecasting platform, launching this winter. This tool incorporates advanced machine learning, enhances transparency, and provides real-time evaluation mechanisms for informed decision-making in conflict mitigation. It aims to redefine conflict forecasting through robust predictions and operational stability.
Elections globally remain prone to violence, prompting Dr. David Randahl's research team at Uppsala University to develop a forecasting model to predict electoral violence. This model, discussed in the podcast Researching Peace, aids in protecting democracy and informs the new Electoral Vulnerability Index, forecasting threats for 2024-2025.
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A literature review by VIEWS' Societies at Risk project emphasizes that armed conflict severely impacts human development beyond immediate violence, affecting health, education, and economic stability. It identifies nine interrelated dimensions of society harmed by war and calls for comprehensive research to understand these cascading effects better. Effective recovery strategies are essential for long-term recovery.
Group photo of the conference participants.
From November 6-8, 2024, VIEWS co-organized a conference in Geneva focused on enhancing the use of arms flow data for conflict early warning. Attended by over 50 experts, discussions highlighted the need for optimizing existing data for use in quantitative models, and emphasized the value of cooperation among academics, policymakers, and practitioners to jointly improve capabilities for conflict early warning and early action.
The final submissions to the VIEWS Prediction Challenge 2023/2024 have trickled in and we are thrilled […]
Stefan Döring at the Inauguration of Climes, picture credit to: SM Yalçın
On the 26th of April The Swedish Centre for Impacts of Climate Extremes (climes) held an inauguration […]
Stefan Döring at Innovations for the Blue Planet 2024
During the 23 to 25th of April the WaterCentre@KTH and the Royal Swedish Academy of Science […]
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Listen to VIEWS-researcher David Randahl at the ISA panel on “Restraining Violence” on Saturday April 6th […]
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Listen to VIEWS-researcher Mihai Croicu at the “Measurement & Forecasting Innovations in the Study of Conflict” […]
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Listen to VIEWS-researchers Ashok Swain and Stefan Döring at the “Revisiting Conflict and Cooperation in International […]
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Listen to VIEWS-affiliated researcher Nina von Uexkull speak at the “Conflict and Environmental Disasters” panel on […]
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Join VIEWS researchers for a panel on the “Patterns of State and Non-State Violence” at the […]
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The 29th of January VIEWS member Mihai Croicu presented at the 2024 workshop organised by AI […]
Webinar about the Violence & Impacts Early Warning System (VIEWS) and how it can be leveraged to support policy-makers and practitioners in their work across the triple nexus of peace, development, and humanitarian assistance. 
The Uncertainty in Forecasting Fatalities in Armed Conflict (UFFAC) research project held a “research kitchen” workshop […]
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Congratulations to Chandler Williams for receiving a Fulbright Research Fellowship from the U.S. Department of State […]
Last week’s Data for Peace Conference hosted by the NYU CIC in New York was filled […]
VIEWS panel at the NYU CIC Conflict Early Warning/Early Action Workshop in May 2021 on advancements in predictive model development for violence prevention, addressing the need for improved early warning systems, broad collaboration, actor layer details, and how accurate predictions can augment policy decisions and preventative strategies.
At the 2021 Emerging Technologies in Peacebuilding Workshop, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre discussed the use of quantitative early-warning systems for predicting political violence, advocating for the 'continuous multi-period incidence target'.
During the international and interdiciplinary workshop Climate, Environment and Food connections at Uppsala University 19-21 September, […]
Interested in an R package that allows you to model and draw inferences from extreme value […]
Cover photo for the "Researching Peace" podcast by Uppsala University
New episode from the Uppsala University "Researching Peace" podcast, featuring the VIEWS researcher Stefan Döring.
Title: Spatial patterns of communal violence in sub-Saharan Africa Authors: Stefan Döring and Katariina Mustasilta Year: 2023 […]
Title: Drought exposure decreases altruism with salient group identities as key moderator Authors: Stefan Döring and Jonathan […]
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Stefan Döring was elected on a four-year mandate as an associated researcher with the Folke Bernadotte […]
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Between August 31 and September 3 the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting and Exhibition will […]
Almedalen 2023 - What are the climate challenges in the Middle East?
Panel on climate challenges in the Middle East, featuring VIEWS researcher Stefan Döring, held during the annual week-long conference "Almedalsveckan".
We are hiring
As a Lead Machine Learning Engineer, you will play a crucial role in the deployment of our new pipeline. Collaborating closely with our team of data scientists and researchers, you will contribute to the development and implementation of the infrastructure. Additionally, you will work with, and potentially manage, external consultants during the initial phase of the project. Once the pipeline is successfully deployed, you will be responsible for the maintenance, monitoring, and deployment of new data sources and models developed by our research team.
Blue Planet Prize
This week the Blue Planet announced the laureates of the 32nd Blue Planet Prize and we […]
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VIEWS has been awarded USD 700 000 from the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d) to study […]
We are hiring
We are looking for 1-2 Research Assistant(s) to join the team within Societies at Risk at […]
On 26-27 April, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre co-led a workshop titled DemIndex for the Stability and Change project. The workshop […]
During the German Data Science Days on 9-10 March, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre presented ‘Building and […]
On 28-29 March, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre co-led a workshop titled ChangeTrend for the Stability and […]
ISA ANNUAL CONVENTION
Several members of the VIEWS core team are traveling to the International Studies Association Annual Convention […]
ANTICIPATE Workshop
During the early days of March, project members and collaborators with the ANTICIPATE project gathered at […]
On 22 February, the Director of VIEWS, Håvard Hegre, co-led a workshop titled “Counting the Uncounted” […]
ConflictNet
The latest member of the VIEWS team, Simon Polichinel von der Maase’s research spans the field […]
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The Expert Group for Aid Studies have published a Development Dissertation Brief (DDB) on the role […]
On 6-7 December, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre co-led a workshop for the Stability and Change project […]
Photo of a rocket launch by Andy Hermawan
On 1 December 2022, VIEWS launches its newest project “ANTICIPATE: Anticipating the Impact of Armed Conflict […]
On 6-7 December VIEWS director Håvard Hegre and Prof. Nils Lid Hjort, will host an invitation-only […]
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On 23 – 24 November, Ph.D. Candidate Maxine Leis attended the HiCN (Households in Conflict Network) annual workshop […]
On November 28, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre presented the potential of VIEWS to the Anticipatory Action in Conflict Practitioners Group, followed by the UN ESCWA office sharing their integration success.
Sahel PA report cover page
This morning marked the launch of the synthesis report “Moving from Reaction to Action: Anticipating Vulnerability […]
The Societies at Risk project members held a workshop on October 27-28, discussing uncertainties in data, prediction, and models, and the impacts of conflict.
Cover page for D'Angeli & Vesco 2022
Presented at the “State of the science of “political futures”: Exploring how to improve the representation […]
Hegre presenting at the OCHA webinar on Nov 3, 2022
On Nov 3rd, VIEWS Director Håvard Hegre discussed using conflict prediction models for anticipatory action in a webinar hosted by the OCHA Centre for Humanitarian Data.
From 19-20 October the “Stability and Change” project hosted a workshop titled “From Processes to Models” […]
Photo of a rocket launch by Andy Hermawan
On 13 October 2022, more than 30 representatives from a wide range of IGO agencies, NGOs, […]
Cover photo for video of the launch of Societies at Risk
The Societies at Risk research project launched at Uppsala University on 20 May 2022, bringing together multidisciplinary scholars to study conflict impact on development. Stream the recording from the event.
Cover page for the comms piece introducing the fatalities model
We are thrilled to announce the release of a new prediction model: the ‘fatalities’ model! The […]
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Håvard Hegre has been awarded a European Research Council Advanced Grant of EUR 2.5 million for the project ANTICIPATE […]
Uppsala University's Department of Peace and Conflict Research invites the public to the launch of a new six-year research project ‘Societies at Risk: the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development’ on May 20, 2022. The event will feature a keynote address by Andrew Harper and a panel discussion involving several notable researchers.
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Publication from the ViEWS-ESCWA collaboration.  Title: Understanding the potential linkages between climate change and conflict in […]
Session information about the roundtable
Presentation of the "Societies at Risk" research project at the World Bank Fragility Forum 2022, featuring VIEWS researchers and Joaquin Salido Marcos at the UN-OHRLLS.
May 2018 calendar
Save the date! On 20 May 2022, we invite you to join us for the launch […]
Cover page Sahel PA publication Jan 2022
Report from ViEWS and the Sahel Predictive Analytics Project, in support of the United Nations Integrated […]