Prediction Challenge 2023/2024Publications
June 27, 2024

“Predicting uncertainty in stages: Using a semiparametric hierarchical hurdle model for predicting distributions of conflict fatalities”

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge.

Authors: Cornelius Fritz, Christoph Dworschak, and Marius Mehrl

Fritz et al., 2024Download