Prediction Challenge 2023/2024Publications
June 28, 2024

Forecasting Monthly Fatalities via a Negative Binomial Distribution and Comparison with a Hurdle Model and Neural Networks

Working paper documenting the prediction model submitted to the 2023/2024 VIEWS Prediction Challenge.

Authors: Tobias Bodentien and Lotta Rüter

Bodentien et al., 2024Download