The Violence & Impacts
Early-Warning System
We deliver scalable, data-driven tools to empower decision-makers and humanitarian actors in early and anticipatory action.
Latest Updates
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Posted on 13 Mar 2025
Conflict Worsens the Impact of Flood on Food Insecurity: Evidence from the Nargis Cyclone in Myanmar
Title: Conflict Worsens the Impact of Flood on Food Insecurity: Evidence from the Nargis Cyclone in Myanmar Authors: Thorsten Rogall, Ida Rudolfsen, and Paola Vesco Year: 2025 Abstract: Conflicts and climate hazards are among the main drivers of food insecurity globally. Some of the most severe famines in modern history have occurred in locations where…
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Posted on 26 Feb 2025
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge: Follow Live Results and Performance Rankings
In 2023, VIEWS initiated a conflict prediction challenge to enhance early-warning systems by shifting focus from point estimates to probability distributions of fatalities in armed conflicts. The challenge’s results, available through a live dashboard, aim to improve decision-making for conflict prevention and response among policymakers.
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Posted on 26 Feb 2025
Paola Vesco Delivers Keynote on Climate and Conflict at IAERE 2025
Dr. Paola Vesco delivered a keynote at the IAERE 2025 conference, emphasizing the connection between climate variability and armed conflict. She advocated for predictive modeling to mitigate humanitarian crises, citing recent events like the Libya floods. The conference highlighted the necessity for interdisciplinary approaches to tackle climate-related challenges in economic contexts.
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Posted on 25 Feb 2025
Chandler Williams presents his doctoral research to the PM of Kosovo
Doctoral Researcher Chandler Williams recently presented his ongoing work to the Kosovar Government at the international academic conference of the Institute for Crimes Committed During the Kosovo War. The conference, entitled “The Scale, Legacy, Documentation and Adjudication of Crimes Committed in Kosovo”, took place on February 18 in Prishtina, Kosovo. Chandler’s research highlights the risks…
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Posted on 25 Feb 2025
Meet VIEWS at ISA in Chicago
On 2-5 March, several members of the VIEWS team will be in Chicago for the International Studies Association (ISA) conference, “Reconnecting International Studies”, where VIEWS is exhibiting and participating in a series of exciting panel sessions and roundtable discussions. Come find us at the VIEWS booth in the Exhibition Hall at Chicago Hilton to learn…
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Posted on 25 Feb 2025
VIEWS Welcomes ML Developer Sonja Hæffner to the Team
We are thrilled to welcome a new Machine Learning Developer to VIEWS: Sonja Hæffner! Sonja has a background in Econometrics, Machine Learning and Data Science. Most recently, she worked as a Research Associate at the Center for Crisis Early Warning at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich. Her research involved incorporating text data into crisis…
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Posted on 25 Feb 2025
VIEWS Hosts Brownbag with Dr. Vassili Kitsios on Machine Learnt Climate Emulators for Risk Assessments
On February 25, VIEWS hosted a virtual Brownbag seminar featuring a presentation on the working paper “Rapid Machine Learnt Climate Emulators Enabling Broader Risk Assessments.” The paper explores the role of machine learning in enhancing climate risk assessments and was presented by Dr. Vassili Kitsios. The research underscores the urgent need to assess climate risk…
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What we Offer
Conflict forecasts
We provide open-access, monthly forecasts of armed conflicts worldwide at both country and sub-national levels, capturing the likelihood, extent and severity of future violence over the next 1-36 months.
impact assessments
We estimate the impact of future conflict events on affected populations, allowing decision-makers and humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Research infrastructure
We provide an open-access, cutting-edge MLOps pipeline for near real-time forecasting, ensuring robust and reliant service for use across the humanitarian, development, and peace nexus.
Interesting in powering your models on our platform, or incorporating them into the VIEWS EWS? Let’s talk!
global partnerships
We collaborate with leading research institutes, IGOs, INGOs and governments, to develop innovative forecasting solutions that enhance decision-making and empower humanitarian actors to stay ahead of emerging crises.
Schedule a call to learn more on how we assist you and your organization.
Acknowledgements
Host institutions, funding agencies, and partners
VIEWS is co-hosted by the Department of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University and Peace Research Institute Oslo. The research presented on this website is the outcome of projects that has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant agreement No. 694640, ViEWS) and Horizon Europe (Grant agreement No. 101055176, ANTICIPATE; and 101069312, ViEWS (ERC-2022-POC1)), Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (Grant agreement No. M21-0002, Societies at Risk), the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ViEWS-ESCWA), the United Kingdom Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (GSRA – Forecasting Fatalities in Armed Conflict), the Swedish Research Council (DEMSCORE), the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research (MISTRA Geopolitics), the Norwegian MFA (Conflict Trends QZA-18/0227), the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (the Sahel Predictive Analytics project and Global Mapping of Forecasting Systems), the Norwegian Research Council (UFFAC), and the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d, VIEWS-PIN).
